It's official: Moneyball rules
SRAM hasn't looked at Dan Shanoff's Daily Idiocy for a while, but it's as easy as ever to find something stupid in his column. He starts out by praising the NBA Finals matchup, even though he said just a couple of weeks ago that Spurs-Pistons would be the Worst Finals Ever. But I was more interested in what he had to say about the MLB draft:
Meanwhile, the most interesting thing I read this weekend was a story in the NY Times about how the conventional (Moneyball) wisdom that college players are better draft bets than high schoolers is off-base.
Did you catch that? Moneyball is now conventional wisdom! And this coming from the ultimate anti-Moneyball guy, so it must be true. (I say that Shanoff is the ultimate anti-Moneyball guy not because he has been particularly vocal or persuasive in arguing against it, but because he favors emotional, knee-jerk decision analysis, the very antithesis of Moneyball.)
Oh, and what about that argument in favor of high school players? Shanoff nutshells it in a devastatingly persuasive follow-up paragraph:
Best indicator? Prep sensation Justin Upton (brother of star D-Rays prospect B.J.) is in the mix for the D'backs' No. 1 overall pick, along with three college pitchers.
Bwaaaa ha ha ha ha! So, you see, it is clear that high schoolers are better bets than college players, in general, because the Diamondbacks are, you see, considering drafting a high schooler, along with, ahem, er, uh, cough cough, three college pitchers. Boy, if that doesn't convince ya, I don't know what would.
Weakest. Argument. Ever.

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